Dombrovskis BBC raidījumā: Kavēšanās ar reformām Grieķijas situāciju turpina pasliktināt

demisionēja, jo bija lieliska iespēja notīties! tas arī viss.

āksts

Uzreiz pazīstu tovarisčus! Pirmais arguments = ''citādi domājošie nav tiesīgi runāt'', otrais = ''vaīiī vaīīī vaīīi bet algu nogrieza vaīīī.'' Un trešais, protams ''naudu, vēl naudu, vairak naudas, kamer es te par komunismu aģitēju!!!"" Grieķijai neviens neko neuzspiež, pati Grieķija sūta palīdzības lūgumus. Jādomā, ne aiz gara laika!

Nu nevar viņi piekrist reformu programmai, kura tagad būtu skarbāka par to, kuru viņi noraidīja. Tad neizbēgami sāktos nemieri. ---------- yani, ir tā programma jau šobrīd skarbāka, nekā tā, pret kuru nobalsoja. tikai tagad paša Cipra interesēs ir to neafišēt, un stāstīt, ka baigais progress panākts. Bet nav nekas panākts, un ir baigā iespēja, ka viņu izžakarēs viņa paša Siriza. Bet opciju nav - jāgriež algas un pensijas un jāceļ nodokļi. Tikai nodokļu pasākumi neviens vairs netic. Tātad - atlikusi griešana. Pa skarbo, līdz kaulam. Un tā, ka tur ne tikai nemieri, tur karš var iet vaļā. 5 mēnešus ākstoties, grieķi tiešām ir savu iespēju pad.suši. Turklāt visus nokaitinājuši. Vienīgie, kas par viņiem iejūdzas ir franču un itāļu sociķi ar Olānu un Moskovisi priekšgalā. Bet viņi nedabūs vienbalsību. Nezinu, kas viņiemjāpiedāvā, lai slovāki, latvieši, leiši atbalstītu da jebkādu palīdzības programmu, nerunājot par vāciešiem. Šobrīd eirozonā rullē mazās Laimdota ar Daļu. Lai cik tas smieklīgi neizklausās....

The most optimistic scenario is that, in the near future, Greece and its creditors will reach a preliminary agreement on the third package of aid, worth 30–40 billion euros. The second, but much worse, option is to freeze the situation. The Greeks are in the euro area and the area itself is not doing anything to throw them out. The Greek state will eventually go bankrupt, suspending the payment of annuities, pensions, and wages for public sector workers. Those who still have deposits in banks will lose money—somewhat akin to Cyprus two years ago, but on a much more dramatic scale. In this situation, the European Union would offer humanitarian aid and limited financial support in order to keep Greece working. This drip would not protect the country against the worsening crisis. Tsipras would begin to lose support and would be replaced, but nobody knows by whom. It could be by politicians who want to resume negotiations with creditors, or by those who wish to break with reforms and in all with the liberal economy—not good odds. If the latter case happens, options for the end of Greece's membership in the monetary union are doomed. However, a Grexit can still take place in an orderly manner and in close cooperation with the European Union. It can start with IOUs (I-owe-you) of the Greek government, printed to pay in whatever form for pension, benefits, etc. This quasi-money could serve the other way around, to pay taxes, for example. This dual currency system, however, is unsustainable. The IOU would quickly lose its value, while loans of foreign companies would remain suspended in the euro. In addition, it is difficult to imagine a long-term solution in which part of society is paid in euros and the rest deals in a quasi-currency. Sooner or later, the new drachma would be moved on a path and, in the “ordered” scenario, it would be stabilized by the ECB and the IMF. Throughout the Grexit process, Athens would also receive aid from the European Union. The worst variant is a chaotic, disorderly exit from the euro zone, which one of the German newspapers called a "Guerilla Grexit". In this scenario, the government could start printing its own euros. It is technically possible, thanks to the capability of the Greek central bank printing presses to produce some denominations of the euro; in the past, it produced 10-euro denominations on behalf of the ECB. If the new authorities would decide to do this, it would be a clear violation of the law and would constitute falsification of money but, at the beginning, the euro zone would have little means to prevent them. Retailers in the countries of the zone could be required to check serial numbers on banknotes; it's laughably absurd to imagine the functioning of such a policy in practice. This would surely end in economic sanctions and result in Greece being thrown out of the EU, but would also probably require new banknotes to be introduced into circulation to distinguish from the "Greek" euro. A perfect chaos.

Ja Grieķija aiziet, tad bažas, ka citas valstis varētu sekot, tiek izslēgtas uz ilgu laiku, jo kurš gan gribētu sekot pa skuju taku.